marketProbability News & Analysis

Fed Interest Rate Hike Likely with 51% Probability in December

Traders are now pricing in a Federal Reserve interest rate hike as early as December, with a 51% probability according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. Probability for a hike in January is about 60%, and for March, it increases to over 71%. This shift follows recent inflation readings that have reached multi-year highs, impacting both consumer and wholesale prices significantly. The move comes as former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh takes over leadership, amid dissent within the Fed on maintaining current rates rather than cutting them, signifying a potential impact on the markets.