Payroll News & Analysis

July Jobs Numbers Expected: 83,000 Payroll Gain, 4.2% Unemployment

The July jobs report is anticipated to show a gain of 83,000 nonfarm payrolls, with the unemployment rate remaining unchanged at 4.2%. This follows a lackluster June, which recorded an increase of just 57,000 jobs. Economists are particularly concerned about a drop in the labor force participation rate to 61.5%, the lowest since March 2021. Additionally, average hourly earnings are projected to rise 0.3% for the month, a 3.5% increase year-over-year, which aligns with the Federal Reserve's inflation target, influencing potential interest rate decisions.