NEWEconomy
Pope Leo XIV warns of AI effects on labor markets and unemployment
Published on 5/26/2026

AI Summary
Pope Leo XIV expressed concerns regarding potential job losses due to artificial intelligence, stating in his encyclical that mass unemployment could lead to a 'social calamity.' Traders on Kalshi assign a 60% probability that U.S. unemployment will exceed 8% before 2030, with a 47% chance of it surpassing 9%. In May, a 78% likelihood was placed on AI being the primary cause of job cuts. Additionally, odds of a recession in 2027 are seen at 45%, suggesting potential economic challenges ahead for labor markets.



