IRS Guidance Missing for Prediction Market Taxation Strategies

Published on 7/18/2026

IRS Guidance Missing for Prediction Market Taxation Strategies

AI Summary

Summarized by AI from the source below

The IRS has not provided guidance on the taxation of winnings from prediction markets, leading to confusion among traders. These winnings could be classified in several ways: as gambling income, capital gains, or under Section 1256 contracts. Under the current proposal, a taxpayer could only deduct 90% of gambling losses, impacting the net taxable income. Understanding these classifications is crucial, as they can significantly affect the tax burdens on traders, particularly with new products like perpetual futures being introduced by platforms like Kalshi.

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