OpenAI (OPENAI) Stake Odds Below 30% Among Kalshi Traders

Kalshi traders estimate less than 30% odds that the U.S. government will acquire a 5% stake in OpenAI (OPENAI) this year, despite reports of the proposal. The proposal was made known in 2025 to President Donald Trump, who avoided discussing it directly recently. In contrast, traders see over 60% odds for government stakes in quantum computing firms like Rigetti Computing and D-Wave Quantum. This matters for investors as it reflects the evolving regulatory landscape and potential government involvement in the AI and technology sectors.