March Jobs Report: 59,000 Gains, Unemployment Remains at 4.4%

Published on 4/2/2026

March Jobs Report: 59,000 Gains, Unemployment Remains at 4.4%

AI Summary

The U.S. economy is projected to report nonfarm payroll gains of 59,000 for March, maintaining an unemployment rate of 4.4%. This figure indicates that job growth is below expectations compared to previous years. The St. Louis Fed recently revised the breakeven job growth level to between 15,000 and 87,000, down from earlier estimates. Despite these signs, some economists warn of rising recession odds due to labor market stagnation and increasing energy costs.