FederalReserve rate hike could impact S&P 500 market performance

Oil prices have risen above $100 per barrel. The August payrolls report indicates the US added three times more jobs than expected, leading to a 90% chance of a Federal Reserve rate increase on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs analysts point out that historically, the S&P 500 index (^GSPC) has seen a negative average return of 2% in the three months following the beginning of a Fed tightening cycle. However, over a longer period, the S&P 500 typically achieves a 12-month return of 9%. This is relevant for investors as potential rate hikes may lead to short-term market volatility.