Citi: Global Oil Inventories Declining at 3M Barrels Per Day

Citi estimates that global oil inventories are declining at a rate of approximately 3 million barrels per day between February and August 2026, leading to a cumulative reduction of around 519 million barrels. If this trend continues, OECD stockpiles could reach about 70 days of supply cover by the end of 2027, while global reserves may reach that level in the first quarter of 2029. Brent crude prices have increased to over $93 per barrel from about $80 in early August, indicating rising pressure on oil markets. This situation highlights potential localized crises in specific refined products, particularly diesel, which have seen prices surpass $100 per barrel above WTI. Ordinary investors should monitor these developments as they could significantly impact oil prices and related investments.